Taxes

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Should we change how much we pay in taxes?

Quick estimate

Quick opinion

The situation

Americans pay taxes to three levels of government. In fiscal year 2026, the federal government collected about $5.4 trillion — about 16.8% of GDP. States, counties, cities and school districts collect roughly another 8.5% of GDP, mostly from sales taxes, property taxes and state income taxes. Together, that's about 25.3% of GDP.

Where federal tax money came from, fiscal year 2026

  • Individual income taxes$2.84T53%
  • Payroll taxes (Social Security & Medicare)$1.81T34%
  • Corporate income taxes$0.38T7%
  • Customs duties (tariffs)$0.17T3%
  • Other (excise, estate & gift, etc.)$0.19T4%

Most federal revenue comes from two taxes on people's earnings: the individual income tax and payroll taxes, which fund Social Security and Medicare. Corporate income taxes and tariffs bring in much less.

Federal revenue rose 3% in 2026, mainly from individual income and payroll taxes. Corporate tax receipts fell 16%, partly because the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act let companies deduct investments faster, and that law also made the 2017 income tax cuts permanent. Customs duties dipped, mainly because of refunds of tariffs that had been collected under emergency powers. Even so, revenue covered only about three-quarters of federal spending, leaving a deficit of about $2 trillion.

Key numbers
~25% of GDP
All US taxes — federal, state and local — 2026 estimate
$5.4 trillion
Federal taxes and other receipts, fiscal year 2026 (16.8% of GDP)
~$61,000
All taxes per household per year, on average (much less for most households; much more for the richest)
Your share
Tell us about your household on About you to see how much you pay. (Coming soon.)

Pros and cons

Collect more in taxes
Close the deficit

The federal government spent about $2 trillion more than it collected in 2026. Higher taxes are one of the only two ways to shrink that gap — the other is cutting spending.

Pay for an aging country

As more Americans retire, Social Security and Medicare cost more each year. Keeping those promises — or adding services such as child care — takes more revenue.

Still low by rich-country standards

The US collects less in taxes than almost every other wealthy democracy, many of which also have strong economies and provide universal health care.

Collect less in taxes
Taxes slow growth

Higher taxes on work, saving and investment reduce the reward for them, which can mean fewer jobs, less investment and slower growth in wages.

Spending is the problem

More revenue tends to bring more spending, not smaller deficits. Cutting waste and slowing spending growth should come first.

Your money, your choice

Every dollar taxed is a dollar families and businesses can't spend or invest as they see fit — and governments don't always spend it well.

Contributed pros and cons

What notable people have said. Rate how much you agree with each.

For more taxes
“Taxes are what we pay for civilized society.”
OW
Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr.
Justice of the US Supreme Court, 1902–1932. Dissent in Compañía General de Tabacos de Filipinas v. Collector of Internal Revenue, November 21, 1927.
“My friends and I have been coddled long enough by a billionaire-friendly Congress.”
WB
Warren Buffett
Chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway. “Stop Coddling the Super-Rich,” New York Times, August 14, 2011.
“There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own. Nobody.”
EW
Elizabeth Warren
Then a Harvard law professor, later Democratic US Senator from Massachusetts. Campaign event in Andover, Massachusetts, August 2011.
For less
“In this present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem.”
RR
Ronald Reagan
Republican President of the United States, 1981–1989. First Inaugural Address, January 20, 1981 — he then cut income tax rates sharply.
“The history of taxation shows that taxes which are inherently excessive are not paid.”
AM
Andrew Mellon
Secretary of the Treasury, 1921–1932. Taxation: The People's Business, 1924, arguing for lower top income tax rates.
“I'm not in favor of abolishing the government. I just want to shrink it down to the size where we can drag it into the bathroom and drown it in the bathtub.”
GN
Grover Norquist
President of Americans for Tax Reform, author of the Taxpayer Protection Pledge. NPR Morning Edition, May 25, 2001.

Historical context

How much of the economy has gone to taxes — federal, state and local — over the last century?

0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%1930194019501960197019801990200020102020 1927: 10.5% (estimate)1932: 14.5% (estimate)1940: 14.5% (estimate)1944: 24.5% (estimate)1950: 19.5% (estimate)1955: 22% (estimate)1960: 24% (estimate)1965: 23.6%1990: 26%2000: 28.3%2007: 26.7%2009: 22.9%2010: 23.4%2015: 26.1%2021: 26.8%2022: 28%2023: 25.6%2024: 25.6%2026: 25.3% (estimate) Great Depression: the economyshrank faster than tax revenueWorld War IIMedicare & Medicaidcreated (1965)Dot-com boom(28.3%, the peak)Great RecessionPost-pandemicboomToday(estimate)
OECD figuresRough estimates (before 1965, and 2026)

All taxes (including Social Security and Medicare payroll taxes) collected by all levels of government, as % of GDP. Solid line and filled dots: OECD figures, for the years the OECD publishes. Dashed line and hollow dots: rough Rebalance estimates from federal receipts plus state and local taxes (before 1965), and from 2026 federal receipts (2026).

In the 1920s, taxes took only about a tenth of the economy, and most of that went to state and local governments, largely through property taxes; the federal government collected about one dollar in three. In the Great Depression the share rose even though tax collections didn't, because the economy shrank. World War II changed everything: the federal income tax, once paid only by the well-off, was extended to most workers and withheld from paychecks, and federal revenue tripled as a share of the economy. After the war, payroll taxes grew to pay for Social Security and, from 1965, Medicare, and total taxes settled at about a quarter of GDP — where they have stayed, give or take a few points, ever since. The ups and downs since then mostly follow the economy: revenue peaked at 28.3% of GDP in 2000 during the dot-com stock boom, fell to 22.9% in the Great Recession of 2009, and jumped again in 2022 with high incomes and capital gains, before falling back. Major tax cuts (1981, 2001–2003, 2017, 2025) and increases (1990, 1993, 2013) moved the federal share by a point or two at a time.

International context

Countries vary widely in how much they collect, mostly because they ask government to do very different things. Denmark and France collect over 40% of GDP, and in return provide universal health care, free or nearly free college, heavily subsidized child care and generous pensions and unemployment benefits. In the US, many of those things are paid for privately instead — most working-age people get health insurance through an employer, and families pay for child care and much of college themselves — so those costs show up in paychecks and household budgets rather than in taxes. Switzerland collects about as little as the US, partly because people buy their own (required) health insurance. At the other end, Saudi Arabia collects little tax because oil pays most of the government's bills, and China and Mexico collect less, partly because many people work in the informal economy, where taxes are hard to collect.

Considered opinion

NextSpendingRed Ink — Deficit & DebtCapital Gains TaxInequality

Wonkery

“Taxes” here means what the OECD counts in its tax-to-GDP ratio: all taxes collected by federal, state and local governments, including payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare. It leaves out fees, charges and other non-tax income. The 2026 estimate (25.3%) adds federal receipts for fiscal year 2026 ($5.40 trillion ÷ GDP of about $32.2 trillion = 16.8%, from CBO) to state and local taxes of about 8.5% of GDP — the OECD's 2024 total (25.6%) minus 2024 federal receipts (17.1%). The historical chart uses the OECD's published years from 1965 on; earlier points are rough Rebalance estimates from OMB federal receipts and Census state and local tax data, and will be checked against the Bureau of Economic Analysis's national accounts. International figures are the OECD's for 2024, except the EU average (Eurostat, which also counts imputed social contributions, so it runs a little higher) and Saudi Arabia (tax revenue from its Ministry of Finance, divided by GDP). Per-household figures divide by about 134 million households.

Sources

OECD, 2025OECD
Revenue Statistics 2025 — Table 3.1: Total tax revenue as % of GDP, 1965–2024 (all levels of government, including social security contributions)
CBO, 2026Congressional Budget Office
Monthly Budget Review: September 2026 (October 8, 2026)
CRFB, 2026Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget
U.S. Ran a $2 Trillion Deficit Last Year, We Estimate (October 1, 2026)
OMB, 2025Office of Management and Budget
Historical Tables, Budget of the U.S. Government — Table 1.2: Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surpluses or Deficits as Percentages of GDP
Census, 1975U.S. Census Bureau
Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970 — Government finances (state and local tax revenue), used with OMB federal receipts for the 1927–1960 estimates
TPC, 2015Tax Policy Center
US Taxes Have Changed A Lot Since 1929
Eurostat, 2025Eurostat
Tax revenue statistics: EU tax-to-GDP ratio (taxes and net social contributions) 40.4% in 2024
OECD, 2026OECD
Revenue Statistics in Asia and the Pacific 2026 — Tax levels and tax structure, 1990–2024 (China, 2024)
Saudi MoF, 2025Saudi Ministry of Finance, via Argaam
Saudi revenues hit SAR 1.25T, expenditure at SAR 1.37T in 2024 — tax revenues of about SAR 380 billion, about 9% of GDP (Rebalance calculation)

Photo credits

Warren Buffett: U.S. Department of Commerce (public domain), via Wikimedia Commons. Other speaker photos are official portraits in the public domain.