Defense or War

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Should we increase or decrease spending on defense (or war)?

Quick estimate

Quick opinion

The situation

The Department of War — called the Department of Defense until President Trump adopted the older name by executive order in September 2025 (the legal name can be changed only by Congress) — is the largest single item of discretionary spending: the spending Congress sets each year, as opposed to programs like Social Security that run on autopilot. It spent about $916 billion in fiscal year 2026, nearly half of all discretionary spending, on troops' pay and benefits, operations, weapons, research and bases.

Funding has risen fast. The 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act added about $150 billion for defense on top of regular appropriations, bringing total defense funding to roughly $1 trillion for 2026. In 2026, the war with Iran added costs — about $37.5 billion by July, according to Secretary Hegseth — and the White House asked Congress for an $87.6 billion supplemental, which Congress had not approved as of August 2026.

For 2027, the President has proposed $1.5 trillion — about $445 billion, or roughly 42%, more than the $1.05 trillion already approved for this year (not counting the unapproved supplemental), and the biggest increase since the Korean War. It would pay for more ships, munitions, the “Golden Dome” missile-defense system and pay raises, with $350 billion of it through a separate reconciliation bill. As of late summer 2026, Congress had not passed full-year defense funding for 2027, and some lawmakers proposed deep cuts instead.

The defense budget doesn't include everything spent on national security. Nuclear weapons are built and maintained by the Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration, at about $25 billion a year. Care and benefits for former service members come from the Department of Veterans Affairs, about $435 billion in 2026. Counting these, total national-security spending is well over $1.3 trillion a year.

Key numbers
$916 billion
Department of War spending, fiscal year 2026
2.8% of GDP
About 12% of all federal spending
~$6,840
per household per year, on average
Your share
Tell us about your household on About you to see how much of your taxes goes to the military. (Coming soon.)

Historical context

How much of the economy has gone to national defense since 1940? (This broader measure also includes nuclear weapons and a few other defense programs, so it runs a little above the Department of War alone.)

0%5%10%15%20%194019501960197019801990200020102020 World War II(37.8% in 1944)Korean WarVietnam WarReagan buildupEnd of theCold War"Peace dividend"Iraq &Afghanistan warsToday

National defense outlays as % of GDP, by fiscal year. The chart is cut off at 20%: during World War II spending peaked at 37.8% of GDP in 1944. 2026 is an estimate.

Before World War II, the US spent around 1–2% of GDP on defense. The war drove it to nearly 38% — the whole economy was mobilized. After demobilization, the Cold War and the Korean War pushed spending back above 14%, and through the 1950s and early 1960s it stayed near 10%. The Vietnam War added a smaller bump, then spending drifted down to under 5% by the late 1970s. President Reagan's buildup raised it to about 6% in the mid-1980s. After the Cold War ended, the “peace dividend” cut it to about 3% by 2000 — the lowest since before World War II. The wars in Afghanistan and Iraq after the September 11 attacks lifted it to nearly 5% around 2010; it has since settled back to about 3%. Because the economy has grown, today's 3% buys far more in dollars than 3% did in 2000 — but it is a much smaller share of national income than at any time during the Cold War.

International context

The US spends far more than any other country in dollars: about $954 billion in 2025 by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute's broad measure — about a third of the world's total of $2.9 trillion. As a share of its economy, though, it is in the middle of the pack among major powers: well below countries at war or under threat, like Russia, Israel and Saudi Arabia, but above most of its allies. (SIPRI's 3.1% for the US is higher than the 2.8% above because it also counts military retirement, nuclear weapons and other defense-related spending.) Many US allies are now raising their military budgets fast: NATO members agreed in 2025 to aim for 3.5% of GDP on core defense by 2035.

Effects of change options

Here are four options for next year's defense budget, from the deep cut proposed by some in Congress to the President's request. How would each change the deficit?

OptionDefense funding, FY2027Change in deficitPer household, per yearInequality
Cap at $750 billionCap Pentagon funding at $750 billion a year, as proposed by Sen. Ed Markey (June 2026) — about 30% below today.
$750B (2.3% of GDP)−$305B (−0.9% of GDP)−$2,276Little direct effect. Defense jobs and contracts are spread across incomes.
Cut by 10%Trim total defense funding by about a tenth, for example by cutting weapons programs or overseas deployments.
$950B (2.9% of GDP)−$105B (−0.3% of GDP)−$784Little direct effect. Defense jobs and contracts are spread across incomes.
Keep about the sameKeep total defense funding around this year's level of about $1.05 trillion, rising only with inflation.
$1,055B (3.2% of GDP)——Little direct effect. Defense jobs and contracts are spread across incomes.
Raise to $1.5 trillionFund the President's FY2027 request of $1.5 trillion — about 42% more — for shipbuilding, munitions, Golden Dome missile defense and pay raises.
$1,500B (4.5% of GDP)+$445B (+1.3% of GDP)+$3,321Little direct effect. Defense jobs and contracts are spread across incomes.

Red = deficit goes up; green = deficit goes down. Changes are measured against about $1.05 trillion of total defense funding in FY2026 (regular appropriations plus reconciliation), assuming no offsetting tax or spending changes. Per household = change ÷ about 134 million households. Rough, static estimates.

Pros and cons

Spend more on the military
Deterrence keeps the peace

A strong, well-equipped military discourages aggression by rivals such as China, Russia and Iran — and wars are far more costly than preventing them.

Rivals are catching up

China is building ships and missiles fast, and recent wars have used up stocks of munitions. Rebuilding and modernizing forces takes years, so it has to start now.

Commitments to allies

The US backs alliances such as NATO and partners in Asia and the Middle East. Keeping those promises credible requires forces that can deploy anywhere.

Spend less on the military
Money for other priorities

Every dollar for the military is a dollar not spent on health, education, infrastructure or cutting the deficit — or left with taxpayers.

Waste and failed audits

The Pentagon has never passed a full financial audit, and many weapons programs run years late and billions over budget. More money is not the same as more security.

Already far ahead

The US already accounts for about a third of the world's military spending — more than its main rivals combined — and its allies are now spending more themselves.

Contributed pros and cons

What notable people have said. Rate how much you agree with each.

For more military spending
“We maintain the peace through our strength; weakness only invites aggression.”
RR
Ronald Reagan
Republican President of the United States, 1981–1989. Address to the Nation on Defense and National Security, March 23, 1983.
“Our Military Budget for the year 2027 should not be $1 Trillion Dollars, but rather $1.5 Trillion Dollars. This will allow us to build the ‘Dream Military’ that we have long been entitled to and, more importantly, that will keep us SAFE and SECURE, regardless of foe.”
DT
Donald J. Trump
Republican President of the United States, 2017–2021 and 2025–. Truth Social post, January 7, 2026.
“America faces intensifying global threats from China, Russia, Iran, and narco-terrorists. This substantial increase in defense spending is therefore both timely and essential.”
RWMR
Sen. Roger Wicker and Rep. Mike Rogers
Republican chairs of the Senate and House Armed Services Committees, endorsing the proposed $1.5 trillion defense budget, January 8, 2026.
For less
“Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired, signifies in the final sense a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed.”
DE
Dwight D. Eisenhower
Former five-star Army general and Republican President of the United States, 1953–1961. “The Chance for Peace” speech, April 16, 1953.
“And I want to say, ‘Let’s cut our military budget in half.’”
DT
Donald J. Trump
Republican President of the United States, February 13, 2025 — proposing talks with China and Russia on mutual reductions, alongside nuclear arms talks, rather than an immediate cut.
“It’s time to put people before the Pentagon and make major cuts to Trump’s bloated and wasteful defense spending.”
EM
Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.)
Introducing legislation to cap the Pentagon budget at $750 billion, June 2026.

Considered opinion

NextRed Ink — Deficit & DebtSpendingForeign aidInequality

Wonkery

Spending figures are outlays (money actually paid out) from the Congressional Budget Office; GDP for fiscal year 2026 is about $32.2 trillion. The history uses OMB's national defense outlays (budget function 050). International comparisons use the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), whose broader definition of military spending makes the US figure higher than the Department of War alone. Per-household figures divide by about 134 million households. The effects of change options are static: they ignore any effects on the economy.

Sources

CBO, 2026Congressional Budget Office
Monthly Budget Review: September 2026 (October 8, 2026)
CRFB, 2026Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget
U.S. Ran a $2 Trillion Deficit Last Year, We Estimate (October 1, 2026)
Defense One, 2025Defense One
Trump signs order to change name of Department of Defense to Department of War (September 2025)
White House, 2026The White House, Office of Management and Budget
Fiscal Year 2027 Topline (fact sheet, April 2026)
Greenberg Traurig, 2026Greenberg Traurig
Understanding the President’s FY 2027 Budget Request for the Department of War (May 2026)
CSIS, 2026Center for Strategic and International Studies
Tracking FY 2027 Defense Appropriations, Reconciliation, and the Supplemental Request (August 2026)
DOE, 2025U.S. Department of Energy
FY 2026 Congressional Justification, Volume 1: National Nuclear Security Administration
Military Times, 2025Military Times
House passes $435 billion spending plan for VA in fiscal 2026 (June 2025)
OMB, 2008Office of Management and Budget
Historical Tables, Table 3.1: Outlays by Superfunction and Function, 1940–2013 (FY2009 Budget); later years from OMB and CBO
SIPRI, 2026Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)
Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2025 (Fact Sheet, April 2026)
Reagan Library, 1983Ronald Reagan Presidential Library
Address to the Nation on Defense and National Security, March 23, 1983
Wikipedia, 1953Wikipedia (text of the speech is linked there)
“The Chance for Peace,” address to the American Society of Newspaper Editors, April 16, 1953
govinfo, 2025Compilation of Presidential Documents (govinfo)
Remarks by President Trump, February 13, 2025