Capital Gains Tax

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Should long-term investment gains be taxed less than ordinary income?

Quick estimate

Quick opinion

The situation

A capital gain is the profit you make when you sell an asset — stocks, bonds, real estate, a business — for more than you paid. Gains on assets held for a year or less are short-term and are taxed like wages, at ordinary income tax rates of up to 37%. Gains on assets held longer than a year are long-term and get lower rates: 0%, 15%, or 20%, depending on your income. High earners also pay the 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax, so the top federal rate on long-term gains is 23.8%, compared with 40.8% on the highest wages (37% plus 3.8% Medicare taxes).

Rate, 2026Single: taxable incomeMarried filing jointly
0%Up to $49,450Up to $98,900
15%$49,450 – $545,500$98,900 – $613,700
20%Over $545,500Over $613,700

You only pay the tax when you sell. And if you hold an asset until you die, the gain is never taxed: your heirs inherit it at its value on the date of death — a step-up in basis — so the gain built up during your lifetime is wiped out for tax purposes. That gives people a strong reason to hold on to appreciated assets rather than sell them. The 2025 tax law (the One Big Beautiful Bill Act) left capital gains rates unchanged. Proposals over the years have included taxing gains as ordinary income for people with very high incomes, ending step-up in basis, and adjusting gains for inflation.

Key numbers
23.8%
Top federal rate on long-term gains (20% + 3.8% NIIT)
~18%
Actual effective tax rate: capital gains taxes paid ÷ total gains realized (assets sold), 2020–2025 average. Lower than the top rate because most gains are taxed at 0% or 15%.
~$233 billion
Projected revenue, FY2027 — about 0.7% of GDP
~4%
of all federal revenue
~$680
per person per year, on average

Historical context

Long-term capital gains have been taxed at a lower rate than wages for most of the last century — but how much lower has swung widely. The chart compares the top rate on long-term gains with the top rate on ordinary income such as wages and salaries.

0%20%40%60%80%100%1930194019501960197019801990200020102020Long-term capital gainsOrdinary income (wages, salaries)Mellon era: 12.5%WWII: 25%Peak: 39.9%1981: 20%1986 reform: both 28%2003: 15%2013: 23.8% with NIIT

Top federal tax rates. Capital gains include surtaxes such as the 3.8% NIIT; ordinary income excludes Medicare taxes. Approximate.

The first preferential rate, 12.5%, arrived in 1922 under Treasury Secretary Andrew Mellon. Rates rose during the Depression and World War II, settled at 25% for most of the postwar era, then climbed to nearly 40% in the 1970s as surtaxes and a minimum tax were layered on. The 1978 and 1981 tax cuts brought the top rate down to 20%. The Tax Reform Act of 1986, signed by President Ronald Reagan with bipartisan support in Congress, did something unusual: it taxed gains and wages at the same 28% top rate (from 1988), in exchange for cutting the top rate on wages from 50% and closing many loopholes. Within a few years the gap was back, as the top income tax rate rose to 31% in 1991 and 39.6% in 1993. The top rate fell to 20% in 1997 and 15% in 2003, then rose to 23.8% in 2013, when the 20% rate returned and the 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax was added to help fund the Affordable Care Act.

International context

Counting the average state tax, the top US rate (about 28.7%) is in the upper middle of wealthy countries. Several European countries tax gains more heavily — Denmark at 42% — while others, like Switzerland, don't tax most individual gains on shares at all. Comparisons are tricky: countries differ in what counts as a gain, how long you have to hold an asset, and whether they also tax wealth or inheritances.

Effects of change options

Here are four options for the tax on long-term capital gains. (Short-term gains are already taxed like wages.) How would each option change revenue, the deficit, inequality, and the simplicity of the tax code? Ending step-up in basis matters a lot here: if gains are taxed at death, people can no longer avoid the tax just by holding on, so higher rates raise more.

OptionTop federal rateCapital gains revenue, % of GDPChange in deficit, FY2027…if step-up is also ended*InequalitySimplicity
Keep current ratesLeave long-term gains taxed at 0%, 15%, or 20%, depending on income, plus 3.8% on high incomes.
23.8%0.70%——No change.No change.
Reduce to zeroAbolish the tax on long-term capital gains.
0%0.00%+$233B+$233BWidens: most gains go to the highest-income households.Simpler for investors, but a bigger incentive to relabel wages and business income as gains.
Same as ordinary incomeTax long-term gains at the same rates as wages and salaries.
40.8%0.84%−$46B−$73BNarrows: the extra tax falls mostly on the highest-income households.Much simpler: no separate rates, and no reason to relabel income as gains.
30% above income ratesTax long-term gains at 30% more than ordinary income rates (top rate about 53%).
53%0.84%−$48B−$95BNarrows, at least on paper, though people may hold assets longer to avoid selling.More complex again: a separate, higher rate schedule, and an incentive to relabel gains as wages.

* Step-up in basis: when someone dies, the starting value of what they leave is “stepped up” to its value at death, so gains built up during their lifetime are never taxed. Ending step-up would tax those gains (at death, or when the heirs sell) — and remove the reason to hold investments until death just to avoid the tax.

Red = deficit goes up; green = deficit goes down. In the Inequality and Simplicity columns, green means less inequality or a simpler tax code, amber no change, and orange or red the reverse. Rough Rebalance model estimates — see Wonkery below. Because people can put off selling, higher rates raise less than you might expect: in this model, revenue peaks when the average rate is around 30%.

Pros and cons

Keep a lower rate on capital gains
Encourages investment

Lower taxes on investment returns encourage people to save and invest, which funds new businesses and raises productivity and wages over time.

Avoids double taxation

Much of a stock's gain reflects company profits that were already taxed through the corporate income tax.

Gains include inflation

Gains are not adjusted for inflation, so part of a long-held “gain” is just rising prices — and the real tax rate can be much higher than the stated rate.

Tax gains like other income
A dollar is a dollar

Income is income. It is unfair that someone living on investment gains can pay a lower rate than a nurse or an electrician pays on wages.

Benefits mostly go to the top

Most capital gains go to the highest-income households, so the lower rate mainly benefits them and widens inequality.

Simpler, with less gaming

Two sets of rates invite tax planning to relabel wages and fees as capital gains (as with “carried interest”). Equal rates would remove that incentive and simplify the tax code.

Contributed pros and cons

What notable people — and other users — have said. Rate how much you agree with each.

For lower taxes on gains
“I have argued that the appropriate capital gains tax rate was zero.”
AG
Alan Greenspan
Chairman, Federal Reserve. Testimony to the Senate Banking Committee, Washington, DC, 1997.
“I took real risks to build my business. If I sell it, taxing the gain like a salary would punish exactly the risk-taking that created the jobs.”
DR
Dana R. Sample post — illustrative, not a real user
Small-business owner, Columbus, Ohio, 2026.
Against
“The fairness of taxing more lightly incomes from wages, salaries and professional services than the incomes from business or from investments is beyond question.”
AM
Andrew Mellon
US Treasury Secretary. Taxation: The People's Business, 1924.
In the 1920s Mellon was one of the three wealthiest Americans, after John D. Rockefeller and Henry Ford. He turned his family's bank into a major financial institution, helped launch Alcoa and Gulf Oil, and served as Treasury Secretary under three presidents. His “Mellon Plan” cut tax rates for businesses and individuals while paying down the national debt.
“But what I paid was only 17.4 percent of my taxable income.”
WB
Warren Buffett
Chairman, Berkshire Hathaway, Omaha. “Stop Coddling the Super-Rich,” New York Times, 2011.
Buffett noted that his rate was lower than that paid by any of the other 20 people in his office, because most of his income came from investments taxed at lower rates.
“Could easily eliminate bottom 125 million taxpayers from the tax rolls and be revenue neutral at the same time with a capital gains tax equal to ordinary income and a few other tweaks. Eliminating tax breaks (like tax loss carry over, MLP's, tax free borrowing to invest against unrealized gains ( a true abuse!), etc etc may actually allow for even more revenue increase ... and more concessions to labor). Any economist (beyond ChatGPT) willing to help with the math? These tax breaks are special interest goodies inserted by lobbyists and campaign contributions, not true capitalism.”
VK
Vinod Khosla
Venture capitalist, Khosla Ventures, Menlo Park, California. Post on X, February 2026.
“My overtime is taxed at 22%. Why should someone pay 15% on stock gains they didn't have to work for?”
MT
Marcus T. Sample post — illustrative, not a real user
Nurse, Phoenix, Arizona, 2026.

Considered opinion

NextInequalityEstate taxPersonal income taxRed Ink — Deficit & Debt

Wonkery

Revenue estimates use the same rough model as the capital gains slider on Quick Rebalance:

  • Today, taxes on realized capital gains raise about 0.7% of GDP, at an average effective rate of about 15%. Realized gains are projected to average about 3.7% of GDP.
  • When the rate rises, people sell less (and hold assets until death, when step-up wipes out the gain), so revenue rises less than in proportion — and eventually falls. In the model, revenue peaks at an average rate of about 30%, or about 40% if step-up in basis is ended.
  • Taxing gains like ordinary income would raise the average rate from about 15% to about 26%; 30% above ordinary rates, to about 33%.
  • Dollar figures use CBO's projected FY2027 GDP of about $33.3 trillion. These are rough approximations for education, not official scores.

Sources

IRS, 2025Internal Revenue Service
Revenue Procedure 2025-32: inflation adjustments for tax year 2026 (including capital gains rate thresholds)
CBO, 2023Congressional Budget Office
CBO's Projections of Realized Capital Gains
CBO, 2026Congressional Budget Office
The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036
Tax Foundation, 2025Tax Foundation (from U.S. Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis data)
Federal Capital Gains Tax Collections: Historical Data
Tax Policy Center, 2024Tax Policy Center
Historical Capital Gains and Taxes (maximum tax rates on long-term capital gains)
Tax Policy Center, 2024Tax Policy Center
Historical Highest Marginal Income Tax Rates
Tax Foundation, 2026Tax Foundation
Capital Gains Tax Rates in Europe, 2026 (with US comparison: 20% federal + 3.8% NIIT + 4.9% average state = 28.7%)
PwC, 2026PwC
Worldwide Tax Summaries: individual taxes on capital gains (Canada, Japan, Mexico)
Senate Banking Committee, 1997US Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs
Hearing on the Federal Reserve's semiannual monetary policy report, February 26, 1997 (Alan Greenspan testimony)
Mellon, 1924Andrew W. Mellon
Taxation: The People's Business (Macmillan, 1924)
New York Times, 2011Warren E. Buffett, The New York Times
Stop Coddling the Super-Rich (op-ed, August 14, 2011)
X, 2026Vinod Khosla, on X
Post proposing a capital gains tax equal to ordinary income (February 2026)

Photo credits

Warren Buffett: U.S. Department of Commerce (public domain), via Wikimedia Commons. Vinod Khosla: at SXSW 2024, Austin, Texas, via Wikimedia Commons. Other speaker photos are official portraits in the public domain.